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2021

Map of Hurricane Nicholas's track across the US

Hurricane Nicholas Flash Estimate

KCC estimates the impacts of Hurricane Nicholas using the high-resolution US Hurricane Reference Model.

Image showing historical earthquakes near Acapulco and tectonic plate boundaries

KCC Event Brief - M7.0 Mexico Earthquake

KCC estimates the impacts of the 2021 M7.0 Mexico Earthquake using the high-resolution KCC Mexico Earthquake Reference Model.

Map of Hurricane Ida's track across the Caribbean and US

Hurricane Ida Flash Estimate

KCC estimates the impacts of Hurricane Ida using the high-resolution KCC Caribbean and US Hurricane Reference Models.

Hurricane Grace Flash Estimate

KCC estimates the impacts of Hurricane Grace using the high-resolution KCC Caribbean and Mexico Hurricane Reference Models.

Hurricane Henri Flash Estimate

KCC estimates the impacts of Hurricane Henri using the high-resolution KCC US Hurricane Reference Model.

Tropical Storm Fred Flash Estimate

KCC estimates the impacts of Tropical Storm Fred using the high-resolution KCC Caribbean and US Hurricane Reference Models.

KCC Executive Briefing – Conclusions of the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6)

KCC discusses the highlights of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) released on August 9, 2021.

KCC Event Brief - M7.2 Haiti Earthquake

KCC estimates the impacts of the 2021 M7.2 Haiti Earthquake using the high-resolution KCC Caribbean Earthquake Reference Model.

Hurricane Elsa Flash Estimate

KCC estimates the impacts of Hurricane Elsa in the US and Caribbean using the high-resolution KCC US and Caribbean Hurricane Reference Models.

2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season in Review

The 2020 hurricane season broke records for the number of named storms that formed in the Atlantic and for the number of named storms that made landfall in the US. Throughout the season, KCC monitored impacts of landfalling storms before, during, and after landfall. This report shares insights gleaned from the historic 2020 season.

2020

Hurricane Zeta Flash Estimate

KCC estimates the impacts of Hurricane Zeta in the US and Mexico using the high-resolution KCC US and Mexico Hurricane Reference Models.

Hurricane Delta Flash Estimate

KCC estimates the impacts of Hurricane Delta on the US and Mexico using the high-resolution KCC US and Mexico Hurricane Reference Models.

Hurricane Sally Flash Estimate

KCC estimates the impacts of Hurricane Sally on the US using the high-resolution KCC US Hurricane Reference Model.

Hurricane Laura Flash Estimate

KCC estimates the impacts of Hurricane Laura on the Caribbean and US using the high-resolution KCC US and Caribbean Hurricane Reference Models.

Hurricane Isaias Flash Estimate

KCC estimates the impacts of Hurricane Isaias on the Caribbean and US using the high-resolution KCC US and Caribbean Hurricane Reference Models.

Hurricane Hanna Flash Estimate

KCC estimates the impacts of Hurricane Hanna on the US using the high-resolution KCC US Hurricane Reference Model.

Tropical Storm Fay Flash Estimate

KCC estimates the impacts of Tropical Storm Fay on the US using the high-resolution KCC US Hurricane Reference Model.

Tropical Storm Cristobal Flash Estimate

KCC estimates the impacts of Tropical Storm Cristobal on the US using the high-resolution KCC US Hurricane Reference Model.

COVID-19 and Hurricanes

Forecasters are in agreement that 2020 will be an above average hurricane season. The coronavirus pandemic will influence hurricane preparedness and response and will likely impact hurricane losses if there are landfalling events. This Event Brief examines potential impacts in three areas: preparation, claims adjusting, and reconstruction.

COVID-19: A Tale of Two Countries

Belgium has had more deaths per capita than any other country and two and a half times as many deaths per million as Sweden. Yet Belgium has instituted strict lockdown orders while Sweden did not. This Event Brief looks at data from the two countries to compare the relative effectiveness of different pandemic responses.

COVID-19: Data Analyses April 2020

The US is now more than two months into the Coronavirus crisis and much is being learned from the data collected by the Centers for Disease Control and state health departments. This Event Brief shares insights from KCC analyses of the available data on deaths and hospitalizations resulting from COVID-19.

2019

Lessons from Typhoon Jebi

Typhoon Jebi caused the highest insured losses from a typhoon in the Asia-Pacific region. This white paper examines the meteorological and historical context of this event, shares the results of a KCC post-event survey, and discusses the frequency and severity of tropical cyclones in Japan based on the KCC Japan Typhoon Reference Model.

Hurricane Dorian Flash Estimate

KCC estimates impacts in the Caribbean and US from Hurricane Dorian using the KCC high-resolution Hurricane Reference Model.

Hurricane Dorian Impacts on the Bahamas

Hurricane Dorian impacted the Bahamas with record wind speeds of 185 mph. In addition to the catastrophic intensity, the storm stalled over the Abaco and Grand Bahama Island. In this report, KCC estimates the impacts from this event.

Quantifying and Managing Japan Earthquake Risk

Japan has experienced some of the most devastating earthquakes in recent history, and even though the country has strong seismic building codes and construction techniques, it is at risk for very large loss producing events. This report examines factors contributing to earthquake risk in Japan, including the frequency and loss potential of large magnitude events, and how (re)insurers can effectively manage major earthquakes with the KCC US Japan Earthquake Reference Model.

Event Brief: Ridgecrest Earthquake

Following the 2019 Ridgecrest Earthquake, KCC has estimated the total loss from the event using the KCC US Earthquake Reference Model and conducted a post–event damage survey.

Hurricane Barry Flash Estimate

Based on the high–resolution KCC US Hurricane Reference Model, KCC has estimated insured loss from Hurricane Barry.

2018 Hurricane Season: Review and Analysis

The 2018 North Atlantic Hurricane Season was a slightly above average season, and four landfalling storms cause significant impacts to the US. KCC carefully monitored the impacts of hurricanes before, during, and after landfall and gleaned important insights.

2018

Michael Flash Estimate

Based on the high-resolution KCC US Hurricane Reference Model, KCC has estimated insured loss from Hurricane Michael.

Florence Flash Estimate

Based on the high-resolution KCC US Hurricane Reference Model, KCC has estimated insured loss from Hurricane Florence.

2017 Hurricane Season: Review and Analysis

The 2017 Hurricane season brought multiple major hurricanes to the US and Caribbean. Before, during, and after landfall, KCC monitored storms for potential impacts and provided industry loss estimates based on the KCC high-resolution hurricane reference model.

Alberto Flash Estimate

Based on the high-resolution KCC US Hurricane Reference Model, KCC has estimated insured loss from Hurricane Alberto.

SCS "Ring of Fire" Event Report

Based on the high-resolution KCC US Severe Convective Storm (SCS) Reference Model, KCC has estimated insured loss from a May 11-16 event.

Why Severe Convective Storm Losses Are Increasing

Over the past several years, insurers have experienced increasingly large losses from severe convective storms (SCS). KCC scientists have examined potential factors contributing to this increase, including long-term climate change and cyclical factors.

2017

Hurricane Nate - Impacts and KCC Flash Estimates

Based on the high-resolution KCC US Hurricane Reference Model, KCC has estimated insured loss from Hurricane Nate.

Hurricane Maria - Impacts and KCC Flash Estimates

Based on the high-resolution KCC Hurricane Reference Model, KCC has estimated insured loss from Hurricane Maria.

Hurricane Irma - Impacts and KCC Flash Estimates

Based on the high-resolution KCC Hurricane Reference Model, KCC has estimated insured loss from Hurricane Irma.

Hurricane Harvey - Impacts and KCC Flash Estimate

Based on the high-resolution KCC US Hurricane Reference Model, KCC has estimated insured loss from Hurricane Harvey.

2016

Hurricane Matthew - Impacts and KCC Flash Estimates

Based on the high-resolution KCC US Hurricane Reference Model, KCC has estimated insured loss from Hurricane Matthew in Florida.

Kumamoto Earthquakes Reconnaissance Survey Report

Dr. Nozar Kishi contributed to "The 2016 Kumamoto Earthquakes: Cascading Geological Hazards and Compounding Risks," published in Frontiers in Built Environment, Volume 2.

2015

What Happens When a Hurricane Patricia Strikes the US

Hurricane Patricia could have been a lot worse had it made landfall in a more populated region of Mexico. This report examines the impacts of a storm like Patricia making landfall in a densely populated area of the US.

Most Vulnerable US Cities to Storm Surge Flooding

Hurricane Katrina was a stark reminder that strong winds are only part of the story when it comes to hurricanes. Storm surge is impacted by many factors, and different cities are highly susceptible to significant storm surge inundation.

Climate Change and Hurricane Loss: Perspectives for Investors

Investors need to be aware of short and long-term impacts of hurricanes on the catastrophe market. This paper provides context on climate change for investors.

Increasing Concentrations of Property Values and Catastrophe Risk in the US

Industry exposure has increased between 2012 and 2014 and correspondingly so has catastrophe loss potential. Characteristic Events (CEs) provide (re)insurers with a better understanding of location-level catastrophe loss potential.

Everything you need to build bespoke catastrophe models is HERE

RiskInsight®, KCC's open loss modeling platform, has the capability for users to create bespoke catastrophe models that fit their specific needs.

2014

KCC Event Brief - 2014 South Napa Earthquake

KCC scientists and engineers conducted post-event damage survey following the 2014 South Napa Earthquake. This provided a unique opportunity to validate the KCC US Earthquake Reference Model.

KCC Event Brief - 2014 La Habra Earthquake

Using the high-resolution KCC US Earthquake Reference Model, KCC scientists estimated the ground motion and insured loss for the 2014 La Habra Earthquake.

KCC White Paper - The 100 Year Hurricane

In any season, a major hurricane can cause a solvency-impairing loss to insurers and reinsurers. Characteristic Events (CEs) can be used as an additional risk metric to scientifically identify high-risk exposure concentrations.

KCC White Paper - Managing Hurricane Risk with Characteristic Events (CEs)

The Characteristic Event (CE) methodology provides transparent and intuitive information.

2013

Superstorm Sandy Anniversary Report

While Superstorm Sandy was unusual, future storms can result in even more severe damage to the Northeastern US. On the anniversary of Superstorm Sandy, KCC provides insight into the vulnerability of the Northeastern US to coastal storms and storm surge flooding.

The Great New England Hurricane of 1938

The Great New England Hurricane of 1938 was a deadly and devastating hurricane that made landfall in Bellport, Long Island. If the same event occurred today, the insured damages and economic losses could be larger than any other storm.

2012

Increasing Concentrations of Property Values in the US

As property values increase across the US, there are more concentrated pockets of exposure, particularly in areas vulnerable to natural catastrophes. RiskInsight® open and transparent risk management platform includes a detailed industry exposure database that enables effective risk management.

Superstorm Sandy Post Disaster Field Survey

KCC engineers completed a post disaster field survey of damage following Superstorm Sandy and collected key observations and insights.

Historical Hurricanes that Would Cause $10 Billion or More of Insured Losses Today

Twenty-eight storms are expected to cause $10 billion or more of insured losses if they were to occur again today, and one is estimated to cause losses in excess of $100 billion.

Hurricane Isaac

Hurricane Isaac made landfall at the end of August in Louisiana as a Category 1 hurricane. KCC has generate a windfield footprint for the storm.

Characteristic Events for Catastrophe Risk Management

Most insurance companies manage catastrophe risk at the 1 in 100 and 1 in 250 year return period losses. Characteristic Events (CEs) provide insurers with estimates of losses more directly tied to the scientific probability of events occurring.

2011

Near Term Hurricane Models Performance Update - January 2011

KCC's most recent evaluation of near-term hurricane models includes a discussion of more transparent models and comparison of actual to modeled results. The Hurricane Frequency Paradox and hurricane activity of the first decade of the 21st century are also discussed.

2010

Near Term Hurricane Models Performance Update - January 2010

The current report by KCC examines projected versus actual model losses for recent hurricanes and discusses why these comparisons are important for understanding model assumptions.

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