KCC White Paper - 2026 El Nino: Impacts on Global Weather Patterns and Loss Potential
July 7, 2026
The 2026 El Niño is likely to be extreme, with NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center estimating a greater than 60 percent probability of a very strong El Niño. This white paper outlines the potential impacts of this year’s El Niño on global weather patterns and potential insured losses.